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Politics

The Coalition's primary vote has now collapsed to 17 per cent, Andrew Bragg used the half-hour with Patricia Karvelas on Tuesday to confess the cause, and Liberal MP Garth Hamilton spent Question Time being marched out of the chamber.

The Roy Morgan primary that landed on Tuesday morning put the Coalition at 17 per cent. Labor on 33 per cent. One Nation on 29 per cent. The Coalition primary is now twelve points below One Nation and a hair above the Greens. Andrew Bragg, the Shadow Housing Minister, sat down with Patricia Karvelas on ABC Afternoon Briefing the same afternoon and was asked the question Liberals have been ducking since the Dutton resignation. Does the Coalition need a rebrand? Bragg's answer was the most honest sentence a senior Liberal has produced this year. "No, I think what is needed is a coherent set of economic policies which are revolutionary." Bragg, the youngest of the Liberal senators with a serious policy library, then explained the diagnosis in clinical terms. "We've vacated the field for 20 years and we are now dealing with that failure, huge failure."

The dating is precise. Bragg means 2007. The year of the last Liberal government with a coherent economic platform was the year of the GST, the WorkChoices reversal and the budget surpluses. Bragg's argument is that the eighteen years since have been a strategic vacuum filled by personality politics. He named the four areas the Coalition has, on his account, said nothing serious about. Tax. Superannuation. Industrial relations. Small business. The list reads like an indictment. It is also, in fairness to Bragg, a candid one. The Liberal Party of 2007 had a position on each of those questions. The Liberal Party of 2026 has, on the evidence of three years on the front bench, none. The CGT package has just become law. The Coalition went into the vote without a repeal pledge.

The Hamilton episode tells the second half of the story. Garth Hamilton, a backbencher in the seat of Groom, used profanity in Question Time on Tuesday afternoon and was named by Speaker Milton Dick. Tony Burke, the Leader of the House, moved the suspension. The motion carried. Hamilton is the second Liberal frontbencher named in five sitting weeks. Phil Thompson was last month. The Liberal Party that polls at 17 per cent is also the Liberal Party that gets two of its members named in five sitting weeks. The conduct is, on Bragg's argument, downstream of the policy vacuum. When a party has nothing to argue for, the only thing left to argue with is the chair.

Bragg's prescription was the closest thing to a Liberal economic platform since 2019. Roll back what he called the "communist super system." Permanent fifty-thousand-dollar instant asset write-off. End the pay-as-you-go burden on small business. A budget rule that stops Canberra from overspending. Multiculturalism, yes. Sharia law, no. Bragg said it in twenty minutes on the public broadcaster, with the Shadow Housing Minister title still on the chyron. The Coalition's senior frontbenchers have, in the same fortnight, been Tim Wilson on the Today Show and James Paterson on 2GB. The three of them, Bragg, Wilson and Paterson, are now the only Liberal voices Australian voters can identify by name and policy. The Liberal leadership has not, on the available evidence, noticed.